Should Americans Trust the Intelligence Community on Russian Hacking?
By Frank Parlato
The US Intelligence Community has concluded with ‘high confidence’ that hacks which led to leaks of emails of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and Clinton Campaign Manager John Podesta were orchestrated by the Russian government.
In analytics, “high confidence” is defined as an assessment deemed very likely to be true yet carries with it the possibility of being in error.
For instance, in 2002, the US Intelligence Community concluded with “high confidence” that Iraq was “expanding its chemical, biological, nuclear and missile programs.” After lives were lost, taxpayer money spent, a nation destabilized, and American multinational corporations enriched, it was found to be false.